Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 3, 2024 7:06 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.6 field goals per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.8 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
When it comes to threes, the Cleveland Cavaliers's fantastic 13.3 made threes per game ranks 9th-highest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.