Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 30, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Orlando is a good one; when the Magic are on the road, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (20.2).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 9th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.