Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 4:35 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.7 shots from the field per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.1 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 14.8 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a good matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production across the board.

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