Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 25, 2024 10:43 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 97th percentile for field goal attempts when playing on the road, tallying 18.8 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.7 treys per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The matchup against the Magic is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8).
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Cavaliers's lackluster 104.3 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.