Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 99th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while at home, totaling 9.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 35.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league at home over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The matchup against the Pacers is a good one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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