Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 97th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, compiling 19.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing away from home, registering 8.9 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Cavaliers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.