Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 29, 2024 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has registered 34.2 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.9 higher than he's registered overall this season at home.
Donovan Mitchell has made 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.2%).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.