Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 6:21 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 98th percentile for shots from the field away from his home court, logging 19.6 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 4.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for threes; when the Rockets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.8%).
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production across the board.