Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 97th percentile, averaging a whopping 25.8 points per game on the road this year.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 46.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 8.9% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from his home court.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.7 minutes per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New Orleans is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home (least in the league).
Donovan Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production for all stats.