Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 6:22 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the New York Knicks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the New York Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.9 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Knicks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).