Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 5:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.5 field goals per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.7 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Cavaliers rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games in regard to three-point attempts.
The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell has made 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have registered 10.9 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has secured 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).