Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 21:16:26 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 55.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (27th-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, branding this as a strong matchup.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 10thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the 76ers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 3.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).