Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has sunk 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this season.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.1 treys per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Cavaliers's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 10.9 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Wizards, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production in all stat categories.