Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 7:07 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 36.6 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.6 more than he's compiled in all games this year at home.
Donovan Mitchell has sunk 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity.
The Kings have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The 10th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been bad at getting to the free-throw line while at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 19.6 free throws per game.