Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.9 shots per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, tallying 9.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.5%).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The 7th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Cavaliers.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs (retaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Cavaliers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 21.0 free throws per game.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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