Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 21.1 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing at home, logging 9.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 5thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this season.
In terms of field goal attempts, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on threes (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.