Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 21.1 shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 3.7 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season while playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for field goals; when the Clippers are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 24th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.6%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have captured 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Cleveland Cavaliers's feeble 19.2 foul shot attempts per game while at home places worst in the NBA this year.