Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 6:52 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.9 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.8 treys per game away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.7 minutes per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Orlando is a good one for threes; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (42.3%).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
The Cavaliers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).