Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has sunk 51.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 5.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from his home court, totaling 9.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.6 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Cleveland Cavaliers's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes as the away team ranks 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production across the board.