Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 99th percentile, registering a whopping 28.1 points per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 9.0 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 113.1 points per game measures as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).