Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 22:53:39 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 6:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile, compiling an enormous 27.9 points per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.3 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 7.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have logged 13.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Bulls (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).