Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 7:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.8 shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, registering 8.8 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has played 34.9 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.5 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, making this a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 14thbest in in the NBA at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
With respect to scoring, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 114.3 points per game on their home court comes in as the 9th-weakest in the league this year.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nets (retaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).