Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 7:08 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for shots, totaling 21.3 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 20.2 points per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, marking this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year, opposing squads have captured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Wizards (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).