Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 23.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA as the visting team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Donovan Mitchell has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 17.1 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.
Playing at home, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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