Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 11:58 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 21.0 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.7 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on field goal attempts (22nd-best in the league) against the Rockets, branding this as a good matchup.
The Cavaliers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Cavaliers rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
When playing away from home, the Rockets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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