Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 7:43 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, putting up 8.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.8).
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Atlanta may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home (15th-least in the league).