Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 21:16:21 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 6:53 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 3.4 mark, Donovan Mitchell's 3-pointers sunk have surged this season to 3.4 per game.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.2 minutes per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's stellar 48.6% field goal percentage when playing on the road measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have tallied 14.9 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production across the board.