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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.1 threes per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.4 mark last year.

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.8% field goal percentage when playing at home settles in as the 4th-highest in the league this year.

The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Donovan Mitchell has made a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.6 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.6 fouls per game last year.

The matchup against Detroit is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Detroit Pistons are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 12th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (28.9%).

The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Cavaliers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 9 games, their opposition has collected 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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