Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league while traveling this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has sunk an impressive 6.2 free throws per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.4 rate last season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has converted a lowly 23.0% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit less than his 39.4 mark last season.
As it relates to offense, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 107.7 points per game rates 4th-fewest in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.0 threes per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Hawks, creating a difficult matchup.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).