Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 99th percentile for shots while playing at home, posting 21.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.5 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.0 points per game as the visting team rates 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Raptors are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.0).
The 9th-slowest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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