Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 field goals per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 99th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 9.3 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
In terms of offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 48.5% field goal rate while playing at home rates 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.
While on the road, the Knicks have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 7th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (2.1).
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.