Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 11:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has sunk 11.3 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one; when the Knicks are on the road, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (25.2).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New York is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are the visiting team (15th-least in the NBA).