Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 3:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a strong one; they have given up the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 15 games (20.3).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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