Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 2:51 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 36.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Donovan Mitchell has converted 58.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 10 games (21.9).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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