Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 5:31 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 38.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has made 48.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league while at home this year.
The matchup against the Knicks is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (22.3).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New York is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are on the road (13th-least in the NBA).