Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 38.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has made 48.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Magic are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (37.2).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; when the Magic are playing at home, the other team have attempted a whopping 26.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the league).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production across the board.

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