Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 34.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Donovan Mitchell has made 48.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league when playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (19.6).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).