Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has made 10.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's made overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for scoring; when the Nets are at home, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (39.7%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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