Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.2 threes per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 4.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the 76ers are on the road, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.4).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Cavaliers.
When playing on the road, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).