Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 5:11 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.6).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has made 5.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
While at home, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).