Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

My Account Log Out

reorder

Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 field goals per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (17.5).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

More Donovan Mitchell Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow