Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against Detroit is a challenging one; when the Pistons are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.