Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.2 threes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The matchup against the Raptors is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.3%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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