Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has converted 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has made 24.1% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, -9.4% less than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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