Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.7 shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 3-point shots per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.1).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season (15th-least in the league).