Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 26.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Zach LaVine is a positive one for three-point attempts; when LaVine is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 6.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).