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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 26.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Pelicans have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. Herbert Jones is a hard one for threes; when Jones is playing at home and guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a mere 24.9% of their three-pointers (4th percentile).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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