Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 16:12:12 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 19.9 shots per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.5 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
This matchup is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have tallied the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Wizards have the home court advantage (35.4).
The matchup against the Wizards is a challenging one; they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (15.4).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cavaliers.