Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 27.3 points per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.5 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home.
This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing clubs have compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.1%).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.5).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).