Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 11.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Donovan Mitchell has made 3.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Clippers have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games while on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Clippers.
The matchup against the Clippers is a hard one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (15.2).

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